The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has lowered its growth forecast to 6 per cent, from 6.2 per cent projected earlier, for this fiscal, owing to the delay in recovery in industrial sector and the fall in mining, manufacturing and construction segments.
"This has been powered by a rebound in the agricultural sector following the drought in 2009-10, and a sharp pick-up in private consumption and gross fixed capital formation," CMIE said.
Gross fiscal deficit of the central government during 2002-03 is likely to be higher at Rs 1,52,300 crore (Rs 1,523 billion) as against the budgeted amount of Rs 1,35,524 crore (Rs 1,355.24 billion), according to CMIE.
India's trade ties with Israel have only strengthened in the years after 2019. The total value of trade rose to $10.5 billion on a rolling four-quarter basis in June 2023 from $5.5 billion in the same month in 2019, shows a Business Standard analysis of data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). A rolling four-quarter number provides a comparable figure across different time periods.
The outlook cut is based on a weak premise since the economy is expected to rebound this fiscal but a wake-up call was needed.
Indian economy is expected to grow by 7.4 per cent in 2003-04 and the next year is also likely to be good for the country, according to a top official of Centre for Monitoring Economy.
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy on Monday pegged the growth of Indian economy at 7.5% for the first quarter of 2004-05 and that for the entire next fiscal at 6.3%.
'We operate in 16 countries already, and therefore adding the UK to it, and beginning a chapter in the European continent is the next step.'
India's GDP is expected to grow at 9.2 per cent in FY11 on the back of spurt in economic activities, Centre of Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) said in its monthly review.
Fresh formal job creation declined sequentially for a third straight month in February to fall to a 21-month low, signaling pressure in the employment market. These are the findings from the latest payroll data released by the Employee Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) on Thursday. The number of new monthly subscribers under the Employees' Provident Fund (EPF) declined 10 per cent sequentially to 738,052 in February from 819,659 in January.
India's unemployment rose to a three-month high in March to 7.8 per cent as the country's labour markets deteriorated, according to data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). Unemployment rate in the country surged in December 2022 to 8.30 per cent but declined in January to 7.14 per cent. It edged up again in February to 7.45 per cent, the CMIE data released on Saturday showed. During March, the unemployment rate in urban areas was at 8.4 per cent while in the rural areas it was at 7.5 per cent.
India's economy is likely to grow at 5.8 per cent in the current fiscal as against an earlier projection of 6.6 per cent, a leading economic think-tank said in its latest report.
Domestic demand for goods and services in the country is likely to increase in FY'10 on account of a possible sharp decline in commodity prices globally and reduction in prices of branded goods, an economic think-tank has said. Most of the demand-related problems, which the industry faced following the worsening of the global liquidity crisis in September 2008, were temporary in nature, the report said.
Improved monsoon, solid fiscal performance, and capex push by the public and private sectors augurs well for India's macroeconomic stability and growth, the finance ministry's monthly economic review for June 2023 said. But the report said that while India's domestic fundamentals remain strong, negative cross-border spillovers and adverse global developments could act as a deterrent in achieving the high growth path this financial year. "An improved matching of aggregate supply and aggregate demand in the Indian economy underpins the progress made in the control of domestic inflation and the consequent strengthening of macroeconomic stability," the review said.
The recent government decision to restrict supply of subsidised cooking gas cylinders to six per year to each household will see consumption for fuel decline to 4.1 per cent in second half of the fiscal, a report by think-tank CMIE said.
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has lowered its automobile production forecast by a percentage point to 9.6 per cent for this fiscal on account of a persistent higher interest rate regime, hike in taxes and the resultant increase in vehicle prices.
Even after the government data showed a sharp fall in FY12 growth numbers and the April factory output data at a poor 0.1 per cent, a leading economic think tank on Thursday said it expects a revival in fortune and pegged GDP growth for the current fiscal at 7.3 per cent.
Driven by an estimated 8.4 per cent growth in the fourth quarter, the economy is expected to grow by 7.1 per cent in the just-concluded fiscal and by a robust 9.2 per cent in the current financial year, the leading economic think-tank CMIE has said.
Rising rupee and higher base have decelerated Indian companies' topline growth to 15.1 per cent for the quarter ended September 2007, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy said in its monthly review in Mumbai. The IT sector was stung by the rising rupee, while the slow down in the steel sector was purely on account of a higher base coupled with a less than 7 per cent increase in steel prices, the think tank added.
The biggest deal was clinched during April-October 2010, raked in a whopping Rs 39,656 crore, paling the Rs 11546.6 crore deal struck in the year ago period.
CMIE expects the growth rate to climb slowly from around 6 per cent in the first-half to about 8 per cent in the second-half of FY 10.
Corporate India's sales and profitability are expected to improve in FY 10, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy said in its monthly review.
Backed by investment activity and healthy performance of the services sector, the economy is expected to grow at 6.2 per cent in 2004-05, according to Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy.
The state's joblessness is three times higher than the national average of 7.8 per cent.
New investment projects announced in the manufacturing sector declined in the three months ended June 2023. The value of new projects was lower than in the March quarter, as well as the year-ago period, shows data from project tracker the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). The new project announcements worth around Rs 85,000 crore in the manufacturing segment in June were a 48 per cent decline from the Rs 1.6 trillion in March and a 66 per cent decline from the Rs 2.5 trillion seen in June 2022.
Buoyed by the surge in India's exports for April-December 2002 despite global slowdown, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy on Monday revised the export growth forecast for 2002-03 from 10 per cent to 18.7 per cent.
Economic think-tank Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy has revised its forecast for industrial production growth in 2008-09 to 4.5 per cent from 6.3 per cent as the global economic crisis has cast shadow on its projection.
The government has authorised economic think-tank Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) to collect data to be used for compilation of the new series of Index of Industrial Production (IIP).
All indices ened in the green, barring realty and consumer durables. The BSE metal, IT and auto indices were up 1.5% each. The oil & gas index added 1% in trades on Friday.
The manufacturing sector (excluding petroleum sector) would report a 24.3 per cent PAT growth mainly on account of low raw material prices and soft interest rates, CMIE said, adding PAT of the financial and non-financial services would rise by 32.2 per cent and 20.4 per cent, respectively.
India's real GDP is expected to grow by 8.6 per cent this fiscal as compared to a growth of 8.5 per cent recorded in FY 11, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) said in its monthly review.
CMIE further said that it has dropped its forecast for sugar production during 2009-10 due to an expected fall ofeight per cent in sugarcane. Similarly, because of the expected fall in oilseeds, CMIE dropped its forecast for production of edible oil.
Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy says industrial sector in India is liket to see expansion at 10.4 per cent for fiscal 2009. The reason for the current slowdown in industrial production was the supply problem faced by sectors like cement, aluminium, electricity and steel, it said. India's industrial growth slipped to 5.3% in January as compared to 11.6% in the same month last year as growth in all major sectors comprising manufacturing, electricity and mining declined.
Apart from signalling the shape of things to come, the stock markets are seen as an important source of funds for investment - so their health can be critical.
Recession-hit India Inc may not have done well in terms of Profit After Tax (PAT) growth in the previous fiscal, but FY 10 could see it clocking a robust over 77 per cent growth in PAT, an economic think-tank forecast in its latest report.
The average inflation in the current fiscal is likely to be around 9.6 per cent as against 4.7 per cent in the last financial year, a leading economic think-tank has said.
'If businesses are focused on de-leveraging, they can hardly be investing. This is the price extracted by investment mistakes during UPA rule, and should have been foreseen. 'But Modi-I must share the blame, for muted reform of the financial sector, partisan policy in telecom, the harm done to exports by an over-priced rupee, and so on,' says T N Ninan.
The second wave of COVID-19 and the resultant localised lockdowns have impacted over 75 lakh jobs, taking the unemployment rate to a four-month high of 8 per cent, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) said on Monday. The situation on the employment front is expected to continue to remain challenging going forward as well, CMIE's managing director and chief executive Mahesh Vyas said.
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